THE TRUTH ABOUT THE
STATE OF NEW YORK


TAXES, SPENDING, PUBLIC EMPLOYMENT,
PUBLIC EMPLOYEE WAGES, AND DEBT


New York City vs. Other Areas of New York State,
The National Average, and the Average for New Jersey


Data from the Census of Governments (U.S. Census Bureau),
and Local Area Personal Income (Bureau of Economic Analysis).


Compiled by Larry Littlefield, Brooklyn, N.Y., vampire-state@att.net.


A detailed, comprehensive tabulation of relative state and local tax and spending data has been posted on the website of the Taub Urban Research Center at New York University. The internet address is: http://urban.nyu.edu/research/littlefield/index.html

That tabulation includes, in spreadsheets, data on every county in New York State and every state in the country, in addition to many more charts like those presented below.

 

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According to the most recent Census of Governments, New York City's state and local taxes were one-third higher than the national average, as a share of its residents' income; taxes elsewhere in the state were also very high. If NYC were a separate state, only Alaska - where most taxes are on oil production - would have higher taxes as a share of income. Only Alaska and Maine have higher taxes than other parts of New York State. Unlike other states, New York State shifts many fiscal burdens to the local level, so New York's state taxes are below average as a share of income. Thanks to state decisions and this burden shifting, however, New York's local taxes are by far the highest in the nation.

[graph 1]

Sources: Census of Governments, U.S. Census Bureau. Income: Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Note: This chart assumes that the burden of New York's state government taxes is distributed in proportion to personal income, and thus equals 6.2 percent of income in every part of the state.

 

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The most important cost shifted to the local level is funding for welfare, social services, and Medicaid. In most of the U.S., state governments cover most of the non-federal cost of these services; in New York State local governments are required to pay a substantial share. The burden is greatest in poorer areas, including New York City and rural Upstate counties. Despite having the nation's most expensive Medicaid program, a state decision, the state taxes New Yorkers pay to fund these services are just average as a share of income. The additional burden is shifted to the local level. Therefore, New York State politicians can vote for higher spending, and get credit, without raising state taxes, and getting the blame. New York State accounts for half of all the "local to state" aid payments in the entire country, NYC alone for one-third.

WELFARE, SOCIAL SERVICES, MEDICAID AND HEALTH CARE
EXPENDITURES FUNDED BY LOCAL GOVERNMENT TAXES

[graph 2]

Sources: Census of Governments, U.S. Census Bureau. Income: Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Note: This chart deducts federal and state welfare and social services aid from local spending in those categories; Medicaid counts as a state program with local to state aid in New York.

 

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New York State's Medicaid expenditures are by far the highest in the nation. With 6.6 percent of the U.S. population, New York accounts for nearly 16 percent of its Medicaid expenditures. Some of this can be explained by above average poverty, but the main reason is extremely high payments to the health care industry - double the national average per Medicaid recipient in 1999, and far higher than any other state. In 2002, while other states are cutting back on Medicaid payment levels due to fiscal problems, the State of New York shockingly increased payments to the health care industry even further, even after the World Trade Center disaster. This is forcing county governments and New York City to raise taxes or cut spending in other categories.

1999 MEDICAID EXPENDITURES PER MEDICAID RECIPIENT

[graph 3]

Sources: U.S. Healthcare Financing Administration, www.hcfa.gov, 2082 report and 64 reports.

 

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By the time of the last Census of Governments, Medicaid had already accounted for an ever-rising share of spending "for the poor," with cash welfare payments shrinking. Now, to make up for soaring state mandated Medicaid payments, the City of New York has proposed deep reductions in social services for the homeless and vulnerable children.

[graph 4]
[graph 5]

Notes: In 1997, medical vendor payments (i.e. Medicaid) accounted for 97.6 percent of all vendor payments, while other vendor payments (i.e. for foster care, to social services, to non-profit homeless shelters, etc.) accounted for 2.4 percent. However, Medicaid "personal care" spending helps to support employment in the non-profit social services industry, since these services (unlike home health care) are not classified as health care. Medicaid payments to public hospitals are tabulated as public hospitals spending, not Medicaid spending.

 

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The rich "Tier 1" public employee pensions handed out during the 1960s "nifty-fifty" stock bubble nearly bankrupted New York's local governments. By 1972, New Yorkers had to pay almost an additional one percent of their incomes in taxes, not for services, but for contributions to excessive pensions for those who were cashing in and moving out. To make up for this, employees hired since the 1980s have had less valuable pensions and lower wages. This has hurt the ability to hire qualified, motivated workers to provide quality public services. Then in 2000, at the peak of another stock market bubble, the State once again drastically increased pension costs for its local governments. This is crippling their ability to provide services and offer wage increases to recruit new employees - NYC's labor costs will soar over the next four years even with zero wage increases.

CONTRIBUTIONS TO EMPLOYEE PENSION FUNDS

[graph 6]
[graph 7]

Sources: Census of Governments. Income: Bureau of Economic Analysis.

 

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New York City's State and local debts are already high - about double the national average as a share of its residents' personal income. After falling in the 1980s, NY's debts rose right through the 1990s boom. Only high-growth states such as Utah and Arizona, and Alaska, have debts this high. Many of those who ran up these debts and benefited from the related spending have left New York City and State. For those who remain, hundreds of millions of dollars in tax revenues are spent not for services, by just to service outstanding debts. Lower debt service costs alone made New Jersey residents and businesses one percent better off - due to lower taxes, more spending, or both - than those in New York City. That was in 1997, before all the additional debts run up since then.

[graph 8]

Sources: 1997 Census of Governments. Income: Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Note: This chart assumes that the burden of repaying state debts is distributed in proportion to personal income, and that therefore state government debts as a share of income are equal in every part of the state. Note that, for historical reasons, the Census of Governments counts most MTA debts as NYC local government debt.

 

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New York City spends more than the national local government average on just a few categories of public spending, at an additional cost of over three percent of its residents' personal income: social and health services, housing, police and correction, and interest on debt. For the most part, this situation is outside the control of NYC officials. The State of New York, court decisions, and the decisions of past administrations force the City to spend more on these categories.

[graph 9]

** Local tax funded expenditures, with aid revenues deducted and mandatory local to state Medicaid aid added in.

Note: local government pension contributions not included for New Jersey, because they appear to have been recorded incorrectly.

Sources: 1997 Census of Governments. Income: Bureau of Economic Analysis.

 

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In general, the average pay of local government employees in different parts of New York State differs from the national average by about the same percent that private-sector pay differs from the national average. However, the average pay of NYC teachers and police officers is low relative to the private sector. The relative average pay of teachers is very high in other parts of New York State and New Jersey; the average pay of police officers is high in the Downstate Suburbs and New Jersey. State PERB decisions inflated the pay of police officers in Nassau and Suffolk Counties, nearly bankrupting Nassau, and causing Suffolk's local taxes to be as high (as a share of income) as New York City's, despite a smaller low income population.

March 1997 PAYROLL PER EMPLOYEE
Private Sector and Local Government, vs. National Average

[graph 10]

Sources: Local government: 1997 Census of Governments, March 1997 payroll divided by full time equivalent employment. Private Sector: Bureau of Economic Analysis, 1997 annual private earnings by place of work divided by annual average private employment.

* Private figures for New York City and the Downstate Suburbs are aggregated because they constitute an integrated labor market; data for finance industry workers in Manhattan are excluded since their average pay is so high as to be irrelevant to the labor market for most workers.

 

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The reason NYC's police, correction, and judicial expenditures are high, even though its police officer wages are not, is a high level of employment in these categories - nearly three times the national average relative to population. New York City's local government employment is also above average in the welfare, hospitals and housing categories and in mass transit. In many other categories (aggregated in the gray bar), New York City is below average in public employment relative to population, while other parts of the state are above average.

LOCAL GOVERNMENT EMPLOYMENT

[graph 11]

Sources: 1997 Census of Governments. Population: 2000 Census of Population, unadjusted data.

Note: The Long Island Railroad, MetroNorth, New Jersey Transit and most upstate NY transit agencies count as state government, not local government, according to the Census Bureau. Their employment does not appear in this chart. NYC transit is counted as NYC local government.

 

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In fact, public employees account for 25 percent of the money earned at work in rural upstate counties, and 18.5 percent in urban upstate counties like Albany, Erie and Monroe. In many parts of the state, state and local employment is considered a jobs program, rather than a source of services. Similarly, in many other parts of the country, federal employment and contracts are considered jobs programs. The Downstate Suburbs have little federal and state employment and earnings, but their local government earnings, as a percent of total earnings, are well above either the national average or New Jersey. Meanwhile, New York City's public sector earnings, as a share of the total economy, are well below the national average.

1998 PUBLIC SECTOR WORKER EARNINGS
PERCENT OF TOTAL EARNINGS BY PLACE OF WORK

[graph 12]

Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

 

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In New York City, on the other hand, it is private, non-profit health and social services employment that is soaring - from 300,000 in 1983 to more than 500,000 today. Most of this growth is financed by rising Medicaid expenditures. This includes the "social services" industry, which is increasing providing Medicaid-financed "personal care" services for the elderly rather than more traditional services such as help for neglected children, homeless addicts and alcoholics, and families with other social programs. In New York City and other counties under fiscal stress, such programs are proposed to be drastically cut back in order to pay for the local-tax financed portion of Medicaid. With a booming late 1980s economy, New York City had been able to increase its public education employment. Now this is also proposed for reduction.

NEW YORK CITY EMPLOYMENT (000's)

[graph 13]

Source: New York State Department of Labor, Current Employment Survey data.

 

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Despite its high taxes, New York City spends less than the national average on many categories of public services, while other parts of New York State spend more. These categories of services, along with business taxpayers without special tax deals (who face high taxes), are the budget priority losers in NYC. They have been for decades.

[graph 14]

Sources: Census of Governments, U.S. Census Bureau. Income: Bureau of Economic Analysis.

** Net of transport taxes, motor vehicle fuel taxes, transportation aid revenues, transit fares, airport fees, tolls, parking fees, etc.

 

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Despite its high debts, New York's state and local infrastructure construction expenditure was only slightly higher than average in the years for which data is readily available. If data for the fiscal crisis years from 1973 to 1976 were added, NY's spending would presumably be below average. Much of New York City and State debt was used, illegally, to cover operating expenses, so current residents receive no benefit from them. The high level of Thruway Authority and Metropolitan Transportation Authority debts run up since 1990 make it less likely that the state will be able to make transportation investments that are critical to its economic future and quality of life.

1972 AND 1977-97 CUMULATIVE STATE AND LOCAL CAPITAL
EXPENDITURES AS A PERCENT OF PERSONAL INCOME

[graph 15]

Sources: Census of Governments, U.S. Census Bureau. Income: Bureau of Economic Analysis.

 

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The main reason for New York City's low public school spending is low state aid. New York City's representatives in Albany vote in favor of budgets that shortchange the city's children in exchange for having the rest of the state contribute to the state's extremely high level of Medicaid and housing spending, much of which takes place in New York City. The recipients of this spending keep the city's state legislators in office. With the STAR program diverting even more state school aid away from the city, primarily to affluent suburbs, the city's share of state school aid is declining further. Moreover, the high cost of the local share of Medicaid prevents the city from using its own tax revenues for services such as schools, parks, and infrastructure, the way the suburbs can.

1997 ELEMENTARY AND SECONDARY SCHOOL REVENUES
BY SOURCE OF FUNDS

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Sources: Within NY State: Website of the NY State Education Department (Board of Regents). State data: National Education Association as cited in the Statistical Abstract of the United States. Income: Bureau of Economic Analysis.

 

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The extremely high public education spending in the rest of the New York State outside New York City buys a quality education, but much of it is for other things. In particular, Upstate and Suburban schools are a patronage equivalent of New York City's Medicaid program. Spending is high as a share of income - higher in Upstate New York than just about anywhere else - to support an unusually large number of school employees. This is especially true of non-teaching employees, a category in which New York City - for all the complaints about bureaucrats at 110 Livingston Street - is far below average. High public employment and high public employee wages relative to private sector wages - not money lost to New York City - is responsible for the high taxes in the rest of the state.

MARCH 1997 EMPLOYMENT
PUBLIC ELEMENTARY AND SECONDARY SCHOOLS

[graph 17]

Sources: 1997 Census of Governments. Population: 2000 Census of Population, unadjusted data.

 

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New York City's local government transportation expenditures are high, but only because the Census Bureau counts NYC Transit (the nation's largest transit system) and the entire Port Authority (including operations in NJ) as NYC local government. Net of all the transit fares, tolls, airport fees, parking fees, motor vehicle fees and fuel taxes, etc., that New Yorkers pay, and federal and state transportation aid, virtually no NYC general revenue is spent on transport. If dedicated MTA taxes and parking fines could also be deducted (they are lumped in with other similar revenues), NYC's net transport spending would be negative, and New York State's nearly so. Tolls on the bridges to Manhattan would, in theory, permit more transportation investment. If other revenues were diverted to pay for rising debts, Medicaid and pension expenditures, however, New York City's transportation system would be no better off.

[graph 18]

Sources: 1997 Census of Governments. Income: Bureau of Economic Analysis.

 

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The State of New York, through mandated spending and aid to local governments, in large part determines local government tax levels and spending priorities in every part of New York State. As a result of the state's unique fiscal arrangements, however, the blame for high taxes and, in some cases, inadequately funded services, generally falls on local officials. Meanwhile, state legislators arrange to act as heroes by handing out small sums of money - member items - in the very categories in which local spending is low, and arrange special tax deals for narrow interests. State politicians tell people that other parts of the state are responsible for their problems, but there are in fact a small number of winners and a large number of losers Upstate and Downstate. The State of New York determines who those winners and losers are.

[graph 19]

Sources: 1997 Census of Governments. Income: Bureau of Economic Analysis.

 

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Ask yourself the following questions:

After thinking about it, I have reached some sad conclusions.

In short, one of the worst state governments in the country is threatening to ruin one of the best states in the country. It's not the Empire State, it's the Vampire State. The state motto should be changed from Excelsior (ever upward) to Tondere Et Aufugere (fleece and flee).

Those who are not benefiting from existing arrangements should be aware of them, and do what they can to change them. They should understand where the important decisions were made, and could be unmade, who made them, and why. The big decisions, even those that show their effects locally, are made in Albany, by the Governor and the State Legislature. Whether it is local taxes, local schools, local anything - it is ultimately the State of New York that is responsible. Don't blame Osama Bin Laden, though he didn't help. Don't blame other parts of the state. Blame Pataki, Cuomo, Bruno, Silver and McCall, their predecessors, lobbyists, friends and supporters. No amount of lobbying, rallying, and cross endorsing has any hope of changing things. New York State's prospects will not improve until a way is found to throw the bastards out. Without putting the other bastards in.

 

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Opinions expressed do not necessarily represent those of the Independence Party.


Go to Larry's research on taxation, spending, debt and employment (link).

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